Right now, for the rest of February, Duran has no tour dates posted or planned. John has tweeted that he will be working on his book. Roger is in Italy DJing tonight. We know that there will not be any tour dates because there is no way that Duran would announce date(s) for just 3 weeks away. While we all complain about the lack of notice about shows and presales and rightly so, the smallest amount of time between announcement and show is about 6 weeks. Thus, if they were to announce shows now, the earliest the shows would be would be for March 16th, if that makes sense. Speaking of March, that month seems to be pretty well filled for dates as the band travels to Asia and Australia. While there are some dates that can be filled in, it is too late for them to add shows, at least if the band holds to this pattern about time between announcement and show. They finish in Australia on March 31st. Before we figure out what might come next, let’s analyze breaks. It seems to me that in the last few years, the band takes, at least, a couple of weeks off in between legs. For example, the band finished the UK and Ireland in the third week of December. The next show wasn’t until the third week of January, giving almost a month off. The shortest break in between tours is about 2-3 weeks. Based on all of this information, the earliest new dates would be mid-April.
Then, John Taylor had one of his tweetfests this week and revealed some general information about future touring after being asked about certain spots in the world. In one tweet, he answered about Argentina and gave the answer of May. As far as more Europe dates, he has said more than once that summer would be the time. In specifics, he said that they were ready to announce Italy dates and that Europe looked good for June, July and August. Of course, US fans wanted to know if anything was in the works here. John’s response was something like “expect September.” Okay. Now, we have even more to work with.
The band’s next leg of touring could be mid-April. Yet, the next month mentioned by John was May. My guess then would be that they wouldn’t tour in April since they would really only have a couple of weeks to do dates, assuming that they wanted their usual break. Perhaps, then, they head to South America in the early part of May and then take a break at the end of May to get ready for Europe. Summer is filled with European dates from maybe early June to mid-August. This, then, would leave a good 2-3 week break before heading to the US for early September. Since he only mentioned that month, I would then assume that they won’t be doing many shows in the US. If I had to guess, they will play only 2-3 weeks.
Could my conclusions be wrong? Of course. I also understand how plans can and do change depending on what they can get scheduled or what else comes up. That said, I feel it necessary to try and figure out their plan as it effects my plans! I know what I should/could expect and know when I need to have money saved and when I can add other plans into my calendar. So, do you think my conclusions are all wrong? Do you have different information? Am I leaving out a source? Then, am I the only one to try and figure out their plans? Am I over thinking? Should I just be content to wait and see what they announce, when? What do you think?